Olivia Colman · KXGGNOM-SACTR26
Olivia Colman is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 10 inside KXGGNOM-SACTR26.
Price history
40¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If Olivia Colman is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Olivia Colman
Rank
#5 of 10
Leader
Anne Hathaway 81¢
Range
2¢-81¢
Family volume
$270
Identifier
KXGGNOM-SACTR26-OCOL
Sep 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
54¢
Spread
18¢
Reported volume
$200
Family rank
#5 of 10
10 outcomes · KXGGNOM-SACTR26
Closes
Dec 8, 2027
Family volume
$270
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 54¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Olivia Colman is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2027
Identifier
KXGGNOM-SACTR26-OCOL
Event family
KXGGNOM-SACTR26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$270
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Anne Hathaway 81¢
Current share
0%
Anne Hathaway
kalshi · KXGGNOM-SACTR26-AHAT
Samantha Morton
kalshi · KXGGNOM-SACTR26-SMOR
Tao Okamoto
kalshi · KXGGNOM-SACTR26-TOKA
Penélope Cruz
kalshi · KXGGNOM-SACTR26-PCRU
Olivia Colman
kalshi · KXGGNOM-SACTR26-OCOL
Esmé Creed-Miles
kalshi · KXGGNOM-SACTR26-ECRE
Kate O’Flynn
kalshi · KXGGNOM-SACTR26-KOFL
Mariana Di Girolamo
kalshi · KXGGNOM-SACTR26-MGIR
Sandra Hüller
kalshi · KXGGNOM-SACTR26-SHUL
Glenn Close
kalshi · KXGGNOM-SACTR26-GCLO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.