One Thing at a Time to be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report
One Thing at a Time is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31.
Price history
1¢ current
−19¢Contract brief
If One Thing at a Time is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
One Thing at a Time
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
ARIRANG 57¢
Range
1¢-57¢
Family volume
$630
Identifier
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-ONE
Jun 25, 2026, 3:42 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$11K
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31
Closes
Dec 26, 2027
Family volume
$630
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If One Thing at a Time is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 26, 2027
Identifier
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-ONE
Event family
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$630
Outcomes
16
Highest price
ARIRANG 57¢
Current share
0%
ARIRANG
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-ARI
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-YOU
The Life of a Showgirl
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-TLOASG
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-KIS
One Thing at a Time
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-ONE
I’m the Problem
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-IMT
SOS
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-SOS
KPop Demon Hunters
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-KPO
DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-DEB
GNX
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-GNX
Short n’ Sweet
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-SHO
ICEMAN
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-ICE
The Fall Off
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-FAL
The Great Divide
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-GRE
Dandelion
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-DAN
The Art Of Loving
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-ART
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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