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Over 1.5 goals scored

Over 1.5 goals scored is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 80¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXWCTOTAL-26JUN26NORFRA.

Price history

80¢ current

+11¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 5, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 1.5 goals scored

Rank

#2 of 6

Leader

Over 0.5 goals scored 94¢

Range

7¢-94¢

Family volume

$25K

Identifier

KXWCTOTAL-26JUN26NORFRA-2

Jun 23, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

80¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

80¢

Ask

81¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#2 of 6

6 outcomes · KXWCTOTAL-26JUN26NORFRA

Closes

Jul 10, 2026

Family volume

$25K

Orderbook snapshot

80 / 81¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
80¢4.7K
79¢19K
78¢16K
77¢11K
76¢2.4K
AskSize
81¢34K
82¢15K
83¢15K
84¢2.7K
85¢6.7K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 10, 2026

Identifier

KXWCTOTAL-26JUN26NORFRA-2

SF Signal
SF Index
4300.95
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

537.6%

IY (No)

8601.9%

Adj IY

4301%

CRI

4

Overround

1.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

537.6%
8601.9%
Adj IY
4301%
4
Overround
1.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.