SimpleFunctions

Over 3.5 maps played in the Team Liquid vs. T1 League of Legends match

Over 3.5 maps is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26JUN272300TLT1.

Price history

35¢ current

30¢40¢
Jun 25, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If over 3.5 maps are played in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026: Team Liquid vs. T1 League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 3.5 maps

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Over 3.5 maps 34¢

Range

8¢-34¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26JUN272300TLT1-4

Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

35¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

34¢

Ask

35¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26JUN272300TLT1

Closes

Jul 12, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

34 / 35¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
34¢1.2K
33¢534
32¢34
31¢500
25¢5
AskSize
35¢794
36¢43
37¢526
39¢500
41¢576

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If over 3.5 maps are played in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026: Team Liquid vs. T1 League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 12, 2026

Identifier

KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26JUN272300TLT1-4

SF Signal
SF Index
4007.62
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26JUN272300TLT1.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Over 3.5 maps 34¢

Current share

99%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4258.0%

IY (No)

1130.0%

Adj IY

4008%

CRI

2

RV

1834%

VR

2.36

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4258.0%
1130.0%
Adj IY
4008%
2
RV
1834%
VR
2.36
IAR
1.7/h
LAS
0.06

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.