Above 18.5B · Will Peso Pluma have 1
Above 18.5B is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 10 inside Will Peso Pluma have 1.
Price history
26¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Peso Pluma has Above 18.5B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 18.5B
Rank
#9 of 10
Leader
Above 14.5B 91¢
Range
10¢-91¢
Family volume
$503
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-18.5B
Jul 11, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$5
Family rank
#9 of 10
10 outcomes · Will Peso Pluma have 1
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$503
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Peso Pluma has Above 18.5B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-18.5B
Event family
Will Peso Pluma have 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$503
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Above 14.5B 91¢
Current share
0%
Above 14.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-14.5B
Above 15.0B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-15.0B
Above 15.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-15.5B
Above 16.0B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-16.0B
Above 16.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-16.5B
Above 17.0B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-17.0B
Above 17.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-17.5B
Above 18.0B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-18.0B
Above 18.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-18.5B
Above 19.0B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PLUMA26DEC31-19.0B
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.