Phil Weiser · KXGOVCONOMD-26
Phil Weiser is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXGOVCONOMD-26.
Price history
28¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Phil Weiser wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Colorado Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Phil Weiser
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Michael Bennet 73¢
Range
26¢-73¢
Family volume
$22K
Identifier
KXGOVCONOMD-26-PWEI
Jun 23, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$9K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXGOVCONOMD-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$22K
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Phil Weiser wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Colorado Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXGOVCONOMD-26-PWEI
Event family
KXGOVCONOMD-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Michael Bennet 73¢
Current share
40%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.