Philadelphia · KXNFLGAME-26AUG15PHIBAL
Philadelphia is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26AUG15PHIBAL.
Price history
55¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs Baltimore professional football game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Philadelphia
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Philadelphia 53¢
Range
45¢-53¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI
Aug 9, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$402
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26AUG15PHIBAL
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 55¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs Baltimore professional football game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI
Event family
KXNFLGAME-26AUG15PHIBAL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Philadelphia 53¢
Current share
19%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 55% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.