Will Playboi Carti release BABY BOI before Jan 1, 2027?

22¢

Bid/Ask 22/29¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $8·OI $1,368·Closes Jan 1, 2027·259d remaining

KXSPOTIFYALBUMRELEASEDATEBABYBOI-27-JAN01

7-day price48 snapshots · 6 regime

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

The 22¢ price reflects skepticism about a Playboi Carti album release within 259 days, though the extreme 499% implied yield on YES positions suggests meaningful uncertainty given his historically unpredictable release patterns. Liquidity is notably thin at just $8 in 24h volume against $1,368 open interest, creating a 7¢ spread that makes execution challenging for meaningful positions. The flat price action (23¢ to 22¢) and neutral regime score indicate the market has stabilized around this low-probability valuation with no recent catalysts driving movement.

Resolution rules

If Playboi Carti releases 'BABY BOI' on Spotify before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.5%

IY (No) 39.7%

Adj IY 170%

CRI 4

LAS 0.32

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	39.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	170%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	0.32	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

7¢

Computed

4/17/2026, 12:50:46 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/17/2026, 12:38:50 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXSPOTIFYALBUMRELEASEDATEBABYBOI-27-JAN01 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →