Portland · KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10PORPHX
Portland is priced at 85¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 38¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10PORPHX.
Price history
85¢ current
+82¢Contract brief
If Portland wins the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Portland
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Portland 6¢
Range
4¢-6¢
Family volume
$1
Identifier
KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10PORPHX-POR
Jul 9, 2026, 10:32 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
38¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10PORPHX
Closes
Jul 25, 2026
Family volume
$1
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Portland wins the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 25, 2026
Identifier
KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10PORPHX-POR
Event family
KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10PORPHX.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Portland 6¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 85% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.