SimpleFunctions

PSG · KXUCL-27

PSG is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXUCL-27.

Price history

13¢ current

2¢
10¢15¢
Aug 28, 2026Sep 10, 2026

Contract brief

If PSG is the 2026-27 Champions League winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

PSG

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Barcelona 21¢

Range

1¢-21¢

Family volume

$86K

Identifier

KXUCL-27-PSG

Sep 16, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 25m ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 16, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 25m ago

Bid

13¢

Ask

14¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXUCL-27

Closes

Jun 19, 2027

Family volume

$86K

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 14¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
13¢559
12¢14K
11¢5.3K
10¢2.6K
8¢113
AskSize
14¢82K
15¢63K
16¢31K
17¢25K
18¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If PSG is the 2026-27 Champions League winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 19, 2027

Identifier

KXUCL-27-PSG

SF Signal
SF Index
405.95
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

811.9%

IY (No)

21.5%

Adj IY

406%

CRI

6

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

811.9%
21.5%
Adj IY
406%
6
Overround
-0.1%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.