Randy Fine receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the FL-06 Republican primary
At least 70% is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 9 inside Will Randy Fine receive at least.
Price history
65¢ current
+62¢Contract brief
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Randy Fine in the FL-06 Republican primary is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 70%
Rank
#7 of 9
Leader
At least 40% 95¢
Range
24¢-95¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-70
Aug 17, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 2h ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$622
Family rank
#7 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Randy Fine receive at least
Closes
Aug 18, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Randy Fine in the FL-06 Republican primary is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-70
Event family
Will Randy Fine receive at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
At least 40% 95¢
Current share
45%
At least 40%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-40
At least 45%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-45
At least 50%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-50
At least 55%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-55
At least 60%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-60
At least 65%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-65
At least 70%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-70
At least 75%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-75
At least 80%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY06R26RFIN-80
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Read 65% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.