SimpleFunctions

Reddit Inc. report above 129 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026

above 129 million is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 10 inside Will Reddit Inc. report.

Price history

90¢ current

+6¢
80¢90¢
Jun 11, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Reddit Inc. reports above 129000000 daily active uniques in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

above 129 million

Rank

#2 of 10

Leader

above 128 million 94¢

Range

2¢-94¢

Family volume

$5

Identifier

KXRDDT-26JULDAU-P129000000

Jul 11, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

90¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

85¢

Ask

90¢

Spread

24h volume

$5

Family rank

#2 of 10

10 outcomes · Will Reddit Inc. report

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Family volume

$5

Orderbook snapshot

85 / 90¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
85¢5
84¢32
83¢751
40¢1.3K
20¢500
AskSize
90¢250
98¢418
99¢101

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Reddit Inc. reports above 129000000 daily active uniques in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Identifier

KXRDDT-26JULDAU-P129000000

SF Signal
SF Index
4230.59
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

131.7%

IY (No)

4230.6%

Adj IY

4231%

CRI

6

RV

73%

VR

0.64

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

131.7%
4230.6%
Adj IY
4231%
6
RV
73%
VR
0.64
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
3.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.