Remarkably Bright Creatures · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM
Remarkably Bright Creatures is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 12 inside KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM.
Price history
94¢ current
+45¢Contract brief
If Remarkably Bright Creatures is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Television Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Remarkably Bright Creatures
Rank
#1 of 12
Leader
Remarkably Bright Creatures 94¢
Range
5¢-94¢
Family volume
$834
Identifier
KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-REM
Jun 23, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
94¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$6
Family rank
#1 of 12
12 outcomes · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM
Closes
Jul 8, 2027
Family volume
$834
Orderbook snapshot
94 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Remarkably Bright Creatures is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Television Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 8, 2027
Identifier
KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-REM
Event family
KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$834
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Remarkably Bright Creatures 94¢
Current share
0%
Remarkably Bright Creatures
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-REM
Deep Cover
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-DEE
Miss You, Love You
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-MIS
Swiped
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-SWI
The Thursday Murder Club
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-THUR
Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-PEAK
The Best You Can
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-BES
Happy Gilmore 2
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-HAP
Echo Valley
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-ECH
Straw
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-STR
Mike & Nick & Nick & Alice
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-MIK
A Winter's Song
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-TVM-AWI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 94% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.