Above 1.6B · Will RÜFÜS DU SOL have
Above 1.6B is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 14 inside Will RÜFÜS DU SOL have.
Price history
67¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If RÜFÜS DU SOL has Above 1.6B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 1.6B
Rank
#9 of 14
Leader
Above 1B 99¢
Range
3¢-99¢
Family volume
$603
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.6B
Jun 25, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
61¢
Ask
67¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$621
Family rank
#9 of 14
14 outcomes · Will RÜFÜS DU SOL have
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$603
Orderbook snapshot
61 / 67¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If RÜFÜS DU SOL has Above 1.6B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.6B
Event family
Will RÜFÜS DU SOL have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$603
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Above 1B 99¢
Current share
0%
Above 1B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.0B
Above 800M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-800.0M
Above 900M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-900.0M
Above 1.1B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.1B
Above 1.2B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.2B
Above 1.3B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.3B
Above 1.4B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.4B
Above 1.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.5B
Above 1.6B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.6B
Above 1.7B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.7B
Above 1.8B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.8B
Above 1.9B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-1.9B
Above 2B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-2.0B
Above 2.1B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-RFUSOL26DEC31-2.1B
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.