Ross Chastain · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26
Ross Chastain is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 49¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26.
Price history
19¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Ross Chastain finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ross Chastain
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Tyler Reddick 41¢
Range
1¢-41¢
Family volume
$62K
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-ROCH
Jul 13, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
49¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Family volume
$62K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 49¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ross Chastain finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-ROCH
Event family
KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$62K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tyler Reddick 41¢
Current share
2%
Tyler Reddick
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-TYRE
Bubba Wallace
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-BUWA
Denny Hamlin
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-DEHA
Kyle Larson
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-KYLA
Ryan Blaney
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-RYBL
Ross Chastain
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-ROCH
Austin Dillon
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-AUDI
Carson Hocevar
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-CAHO
Ryan Preece
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-RYPR
Joey Logano
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-JOLO
Zane Smith
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-ZASM
Alex Bowman
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-ALBO
Austin Cindric
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-AUCI
Daniel Suárez
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-DASU
Chase Elliott
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-CHEL
Brad Keselowski
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-QUAS4AA26-BRKE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.