Ruben Neves · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR
Ruben Neves is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 14 inside KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR.
Price history
7¢ current
Contract brief
If Ruben Neves scores the most goals for Portugal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ruben Neves
Rank
#5 of 14
Leader
Cristiano Ronaldo 15¢
Range
1¢-15¢
Family volume
$139
Identifier
KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-RNEVES8
Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$681
Family rank
#5 of 14
14 outcomes · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$139
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ruben Neves scores the most goals for Portugal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-RNEVES8
Event family
KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$139
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Cristiano Ronaldo 15¢
Current share
0%
Cristiano Ronaldo
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-CRIS7
Francisco Conceicao
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-FCONCE7
Rafael Leao
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-RLEAO10
Francisco Trincao
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-FTRINC17
Ruben Neves
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-RNEVES8
Vitinha
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-VITI17
Nuno Mendes
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-NMENDE25
Joao Cancelo
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-JCANCE20
Bruno Fernandes
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-BFERNA8
Goncalo Ramos
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-GRAMOS9
Pedro Neto
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-PNETO7
Joao Neves
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-JNEVES87
Bernardo Silva
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-BSILVA20
Joao Felix
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26POR-JFELIX79
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.