Russell Fry · KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2
Russell Fry is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2.
Price history
32¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Russell Fry finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Russell Fry
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
Ralph Norman 49¢
Range
1¢-49¢
Family volume
$334
Identifier
KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2-RFRY
Aug 9, 2026, 8:39 PM UTC · 44m ago
Implied probability
Bid
29¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2
Closes
Jul 22, 2027
Family volume
$334
Orderbook snapshot
29 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Russell Fry finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 22, 2027
Identifier
KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2-RFRY
Event family
KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$334
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Ralph Norman 49¢
Current share
0%
Ralph Norman
kalshi · KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2-RNOR
Russell Fry
kalshi · KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2-RFRY
Darline Graham
kalshi · KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2-DGRA
Mark Sanford
kalshi · KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2-MSAN
Trey Gowdy
kalshi · KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXSCRSENS26-2-TGOW
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.