SimpleFunctions

Sabrina Ionescu · KXWNBAALLSTARS-26

Sabrina Ionescu is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXWNBAALLSTARS-26.

Price history

4¢ current

45¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 15, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Sabrina Ionescu is selected as a Women's Pro Basketball All-Star in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Sabrina Ionescu

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Angel Reese 98¢

Range

2¢-98¢

Family volume

$216

Identifier

KXWNBAALLSTARS-26-SIONESCU20

Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

Ask

15¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$16

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · KXWNBAALLSTARS-26

Closes

Aug 9, 2026

Family volume

$216

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 15¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
5¢200
2¢5
AskSize
15¢5
16¢30
17¢35
50¢50
72¢234

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Sabrina Ionescu is selected as a Women's Pro Basketball All-Star in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 9, 2026

Identifier

KXWNBAALLSTARS-26-SIONESCU20

SF Signal
SF Index
4798.80
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4798.8%

IY (No)

127.2%

Adj IY

4799%

CRI

6

RV

54229%

VR

17.45

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4798.8%
127.2%
Adj IY
4799%
6
RV
54229%
VR
17.45
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
16.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.