No Results · Will Samson Clinical Operations's male Androgenetic Alopecia (AGA) drug (Sublingual Minoxidil) report
No Results is priced at 73¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 71¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Will Samson Clinical Operations's male Androgenetic Alopecia (AGA) drug (Sublingual Minoxidil) report.
Price history
73¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If the Phase 3 trial SAM-002 of Sublingual Minoxidil by Samson Clinical Operations reports No Results results in June 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
No Results
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
No Results 71¢
Range
3¢-71¢
Family volume
$560
Identifier
KXSAMSON-26-SAM-002-NR
Jun 26, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
71¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$560
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · Will Samson Clinical Operations's male Androgenetic Alopecia (AGA) drug (Sublingual Minoxidil) report
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$560
Orderbook snapshot
71 / 72¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Phase 3 trial SAM-002 of Sublingual Minoxidil by Samson Clinical Operations reports No Results results in June 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXSAMSON-26-SAM-002-NR
Event family
Will Samson Clinical Operations's male Androgenetic Alopecia (AGA) drug (Sublingual Minoxidil) report.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$560
Outcomes
5
Highest price
No Results 71¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 73% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.