Scottie Scheffler · KXPGATOUR-THOC26
Scottie Scheffler is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXPGATOUR-THOC26.
Price history
16¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Scottie Scheffler wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Scottie Scheffler
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Scottie Scheffler 14¢
Range
1¢-14¢
Family volume
$80K
Identifier
KXPGATOUR-THOC26-SSCH
Jun 25, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$14K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPGATOUR-THOC26
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Family volume
$80K
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Scottie Scheffler wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOUR-THOC26-SSCH
Event family
KXPGATOUR-THOC26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$80K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Scottie Scheffler 14¢
Current share
17%
Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-SSCH
Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RMCI
Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-TFLE
Matt Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-MFIT
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-WCLA
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-LABE
Cameron Young
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-CAME
Jon Rahm
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JRAH
Sam Burns
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-SBUR
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-BDEC
Collin Morikawa
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-CMOR
Ben Griffin
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-BGRI
Russell Henley
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RHEN
Justin Rose
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JROS
Aaron Rai
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-ARAI
Joaquin Niemann
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JNIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.