Before Jan 1, 2027 · Will Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before
Before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Will Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before.
Price history
15¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announces the publication of a final rule (with any effective date) making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Before Apr 1, 2027 25¢
Range
10¢-25¢
Family volume
$6
Identifier
KXSECQUARTERLY-26MAR-27JAN01
Jun 23, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$6
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Will Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$6
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announces the publication of a final rule (with any effective date) making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSECQUARTERLY-26MAR-27JAN01
Event family
Will Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before Apr 1, 2027 25¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Odds pages
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Related readings
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 15% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.