SimpleFunctions

Shein Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 above 98

Above 98 is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside Will Shein Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above.

Price history

29¢ current

+22¢
0¢25¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 7, 2026

Contract brief

If the Carbon Arc Shein Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 98, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 98

Rank

#6 of 9

Leader

Above 88 76¢

Range

8¢-76¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXSHEINCC-26SEP07-T98

Aug 7, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

29¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

24h volume

$400

Family rank

#6 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Shein Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 26¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
25¢750
24¢400
13¢100
8¢46
7¢142
AskSize
26¢121
27¢555
28¢59
29¢200
32¢252

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Carbon Arc Shein Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 98, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Identifier

KXSHEINCC-26SEP07-T98

SF Signal
SF Index
3610.64
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3610.6%

IY (No)

401.2%

Adj IY

3611%

CRI

3

RV

487%

VR

0.97

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3610.6%
401.2%
Adj IY
3611%
3
RV
487%
VR
0.97
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
2.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.