Shohei Ohtani · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26
Shohei Ohtani is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXLEADERMLBWINS-26.
Price history
2¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If Shohei Ohtani leads Pro Baseball in wins for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Shohei Ohtani
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 13¢
Range
1¢-13¢
Family volume
$456
Identifier
KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-SOHT
Jul 13, 2026, 3:05 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26
Closes
Oct 22, 2026
Family volume
$456
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Shohei Ohtani leads Pro Baseball in wins for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 22, 2026
Identifier
KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-SOHT
Event family
KXLEADERMLBWINS-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$456
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 13¢
Current share
0%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-YYAM
Chris Sale
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-CSAL
Jacob Misiorowski
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-JMIS
Cristopher Sánchez
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-CSAN
Cam Schlittler
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-CSCH
Framber Valdez
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-FVAL
Bryan Woo
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-BWOO
Shohei Ohtani
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-SOHT
Max Fried
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-MFRI
Paul Skenes
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-PSKE
Logan Webb
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-LWEB
Hunter Brown
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-HBRO
Tarik Skubal
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-TSKU
Garrett Crochet
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-GCRO
Dylan Cease
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-DCEA
Jacob deGrom
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBWINS-26-JDEG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.