Shohei Ohtani to pitch in a game · KXMLBPITCH-26SOHTANI17
Shohei Ohtani to pitch in a game is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
86¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Shohei Ohtani pitches in a Pro Baseball regular season game after Jul 28, 2026 and before Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Shohei Ohtani to pitch in a game
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$7
Identifier
KXMLBPITCH-26SOHTANI17-Y
Aug 25, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 41m ago
Implied probability
Bid
91¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$7
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Oct 5, 2026
Family volume
$7
Orderbook snapshot
91 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Shohei Ohtani pitches in a Pro Baseball regular season game after Jul 28, 2026 and before Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 5, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBPITCH-26SOHTANI17-Y
Event family
KXMLBPITCH-26SOHTANI17.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Shohei Ohtani to pitch in a game 91¢
Current share
100%
Shohei Ohtani to pitch in a game
kalshi · KXMLBPITCH-26SOHTANI17-Y
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 86% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.