Shrinking · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26
Shrinking is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 10 inside KXGGNOM-TVCOM26.
Price history
47¢ current
Contract brief
If Shrinking is on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Shrinking
Rank
#6 of 10
Leader
Hacks 94¢
Range
1¢-94¢
Family volume
$11K
Identifier
KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-SHR
Sep 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
45¢
Ask
47¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$18
Family rank
#6 of 10
10 outcomes · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26
Closes
Dec 8, 2027
Family volume
$11K
Orderbook snapshot
45 / 47¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Shrinking is on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2027
Identifier
KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-SHR
Event family
KXGGNOM-TVCOM26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$11K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Hacks 94¢
Current share
0%
Hacks
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-HAC
Widow’s Bay
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-WID
Ted Lasso
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-TED
Abbott Elementary
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-ABB
Only Murders in the Building
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-ONL
Shrinking
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-SHR
The Bear
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-BEA
Nobody Wants This
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-NOB
Rooster
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-ROO
The Studio
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVCOM26-STU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.