SimpleFunctions

South Korea exports YoY for June 2026 above 52.0%

Above 52.0% is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside Will South Korea exports YoY for June 2026 be above 5.

Price history

63¢ current

+50¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 1, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the South Korea exports YoY for June 2026 is above 52.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 52.0%

Rank

#3 of 9

Leader

Above 50.0% 78¢

Range

8¢-78¢

Family volume

$133

Identifier

KXSKEXPYOY-26JUL01-T52.0

Jun 25, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

63¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

60¢

Ask

66¢

Spread

Reported volume

$619

Family rank

#3 of 9

9 outcomes · Will South Korea exports YoY for June 2026 be above 5

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Family volume

$133

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 66¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
60¢5
59¢200
11¢703
AskSize
66¢5
67¢200
94¢594
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the South Korea exports YoY for June 2026 is above 52.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXSKEXPYOY-26JUL01-T52.0

SF Signal
SF Index
5233.86
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3653.7%

IY (No)

8220.7%

Adj IY

5234%

CRI

2

RV

119%

VR

0.19

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3653.7%
8220.7%
Adj IY
5234%
2
RV
119%
VR
0.19
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
2.6%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.