Stephen Root · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26
Stephen Root is priced at 73¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 10 inside KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26.
Price history
73¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Stephen Root is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Stephen Root
Rank
#2 of 10
Leader
David Harbour 85¢
Range
2¢-85¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-SROO
Sep 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
72¢
Ask
73¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 10
10 outcomes · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26
Closes
Dec 8, 2027
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
72 / 73¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Stephen Root is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2027
Identifier
KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-SROO
Event family
KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
David Harbour 85¢
Current share
0%
David Harbour
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-DHAR
Stephen Root
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-SROO
Patrick Ball
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-PBAL
Charles Melton
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-CMEL
Shawn Hatosy
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-SLUKE
Jason Bateman
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-JBAT
Richard Gadd
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-RGAD
Nick Offerman
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-NOFF
Paul W. Downs
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-PDOW
Colman Domingo
kalshi · KXGGNOM-TVSACTO26-CDOM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 73% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.