Before 2027 · KXENGAGEMENTSWEENEYBRUAN-26
Before 2027 is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
20¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun are reported to be engaged to be married before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$391
Identifier
KXENGAGEMENTSWEENEYBRUAN-26
Jun 23, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$391
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$391
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun are reported to be engaged to be married before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXENGAGEMENTSWEENEYBRUAN-26
Event family
KXENGAGEMENTSWEENEYBRUAN-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$391
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Before 2027 14¢
Current share
100%
Before 2027
kalshi · KXENGAGEMENTSWEENEYBRUAN-26
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.318
Observability
low
Event type
cultural
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 20% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.