Tanner Gray · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26
Tanner Gray is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26.
Price history
2¢ current
Contract brief
If Tanner Gray finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 FaithFest 250 presented by Mercer Transportation, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tanner Gray
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Layne Riggs 11¢
Range
1¢-11¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-TAGR
Jul 14, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$97
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tanner Gray finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 FaithFest 250 presented by Mercer Transportation, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-TAGR
Event family
KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Layne Riggs 11¢
Current share
2%
Layne Riggs
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-LARI
Carson Hocevar
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-CAHO
Ty Majeski
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-TYMA
Christopher Bell
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-CHBE
Chase Elliott
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-CHEL
Kaden Honeycutt
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-KAHO
Chandler Smith
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-CHSM
Shane Van Gisbergen
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-SHVA
Donovan Strauss
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-DOST
Ben Rhodes
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-BERH
Ryan Newman
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-RYNE
Nick Leitz
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-NILE
Landen Lewis
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-LALE
Tanner Gray
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-TAGR
Kasey Kleyn
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-KAKL
Grant Enfinger
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-FAI2PBM26-GREN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.