Taylor Swift be #1 on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart for at least 3 chart days in June 2026
At least 3 days is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside Will Taylor Swift be #1 on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart for at least.
Price history
19¢ current
−71¢Contract brief
If Taylor Swift is #1 on the Spotify Daily Top Songs USA for at least 3 chart days in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 3 days
Rank
#1 of 10
Leader
At least 3 days 3¢
Range
1¢-3¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-3
Jun 24, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
15¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#1 of 10
10 outcomes · Will Taylor Swift be #1 on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart for at least
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Taylor Swift is #1 on the Spotify Daily Top Songs USA for at least 3 chart days in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-3
Event family
Will Taylor Swift be #1 on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart for at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
At least 3 days 3¢
Current share
43%
At least 3 days
kalshi · KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-3
At least 6 days
kalshi · KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-6
At least 12 days
kalshi · KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-12
At least 27 days
kalshi · KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-27
At least 9 days
kalshi · KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-9
At least 15 days
kalshi · KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-15
At least 18 days
kalshi · KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-18
At least 21 days
kalshi · KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-21
At least 24 days
kalshi · KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-24
At least 30 days
kalshi · KXSPOTIFYNUM1USA-26JUL01-TAY-30
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.