Dec 1, 2026: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Will Taylor Swift release a new album after issuance and before
Dec 1, 2026: Before Dec 1, 2026 is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 15 inside Will Taylor Swift release a new album after issuance and before.
Price history
96¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Taylor Swift releases a new album after issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dec 1, 2026: Before Dec 1, 2026
Rank
#11 of 15
Leader
Nov 1, 2027: Before Nov 1, 2027 99¢
Range
15¢-99¢
Family volume
$26K
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-26DEC01
Sep 23, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
86¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$869
Family rank
#11 of 15
15 outcomes · Will Taylor Swift release a new album after issuance and before
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Family volume
$26K
Orderbook snapshot
86 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Taylor Swift releases a new album after issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-26DEC01
Event family
Will Taylor Swift release a new album after issuance and before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$26K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Nov 1, 2027: Before Nov 1, 2027 99¢
Current share
3%
Nov 1, 2027: Before Nov 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27NOV01
Dec 1, 2027: Before Dec 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27DEC01
Jan 1, 2028: Before Jan 1, 2028
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-28JAN01
Nov 1, 2026: Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-26NOV01
Aug 1, 2027: Before Aug 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27AUG01
Jan 1, 2027: Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27JAN01
Apr 1, 2027: Before Apr 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27APR01
Oct 1, 2027: Before Oct 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27OCT01
Jun 1, 2027: Before Jun 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27JUN01
Feb 1, 2027: Before Feb 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27FEB01
Dec 1, 2026: Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-26DEC01
Jul 1, 2027: Before Jul 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27JUL01
Mar 1, 2027: Before Mar 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27MAR01
May 1, 2027: Before May 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27MAY01
Sep 1, 2027: Before Sep 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAY-27SEP01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.