Elie Saab · Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed
Elie Saab is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed.
Price history
1¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
If Taylor Swift is documented wearing a wedding dress designed by Elie Saab during Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Elie Saab
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Dior 97¢
Range
1¢-97¢
Family volume
$97
Identifier
KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-ELI
Jul 27, 2026, 11:27 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$97
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Taylor Swift is documented wearing a wedding dress designed by Elie Saab during Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-ELI
Event family
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$97
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Dior 97¢
Current share
0%
Dior
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-DIO
Oscar de la Renta
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-OSC
Alexander McQueen
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-ALE
Berta
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-BER
Elie Saab
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-ELI
Vivienne Westwood
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-VIV
Schiaparelli
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-SCH
Chanel
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-CHA
Valentino
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-VAL
Vera Wang
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-VER
Monique Lhuillier
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-MON
Carolina Herrera
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-CAR
Givenchy
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-GIV
Ralph Lauren
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-RAL
Dolce & Gabbana
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-DOL
Gucci
kalshi · KXSWIFTWEDDING-26DEC31-GUC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.