Tennessee win at least 6 games this season
6+ wins is priced at 83¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 16¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Will Tennessee win at least.
Price history
83¢ current
+76¢Contract brief
If the Tennessee college football team has at least 6 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
6+ wins
Rank
#1 of 9
Leader
6+ wins 75¢
Range
1¢-75¢
Family volume
$891
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-6
Jul 26, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
75¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
16¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Tennessee win at least
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$891
Orderbook snapshot
75 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Tennessee college football team has at least 6 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-6
Event family
Will Tennessee win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$891
Outcomes
9
Highest price
6+ wins 75¢
Current share
0%
6+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-6
5+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-5
4+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-4
8+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-8
9+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-9
7+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-7
10+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-10
11+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-11
12 wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26TENN-12
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 83% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.