Tesla, Inc. report above 125000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026
Above 125000 is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will Tesla, Inc. report above 1.
Price history
92¢ current
+43¢Contract brief
If Tesla, Inc. reports above 125000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 125000
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Above 120000 95¢
Range
12¢-95¢
Family volume
$264
Identifier
KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-125000
Jun 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
91¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$121
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Tesla, Inc. report above 1
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Family volume
$264
Orderbook snapshot
91 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tesla, Inc. reports above 125000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Identifier
KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-125000
Event family
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$264
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Above 120000 95¢
Current share
46%
Above 120000
kalshi · KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-120000
Above 125000
kalshi · KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-125000
Above 130000
kalshi · KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-130000
Above 135000
kalshi · KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-135000
Above 140000
kalshi · KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-140000
Above 145000
kalshi · KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-145000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.