Draw 1H 1-1 · Will the 1st half score
Draw 1H 1-1 is priced at 10¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 12 inside Will the 1st half score.
Price history
10¢ current
Contract brief
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Uruguay 1, Spain 1 in the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Draw 1H 1-1
Rank
#1 of 12
Leader
Draw 1H 1-1 8¢
Range
1¢-8¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU1ESP1
Jun 25, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 12
12 outcomes · Will the 1st half score
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Uruguay 1, Spain 1 in the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU1ESP1
Event family
Will the 1st half score.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Draw 1H 1-1 8¢
Current share
0%
Spain wins 1H 2-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU0ESP2
Draw 1H 1-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU1ESP1
Draw 1H 0-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU0ESP0
Spain wins 1H 1-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU0ESP1
Uruguay wins 1H 1-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU1ESP0
Spain wins 1H 2-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU1ESP2
Spain wins 1H 3-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU0ESP3
Spain wins 1H 3-2
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU2ESP3
Draw 1H 2-2
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU2ESP2
Spain wins 1H 3-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU1ESP3
Uruguay wins 1H 2-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU2ESP0
Uruguay wins 1H 2-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26URUESP-URU2ESP1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.