England wins 1H 1-0 · Will the 1st half score
England wins 1H 1-0 is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 13 inside Will the 1st half score.
Price history
22¢ current
Contract brief
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is England 1, Argentina 0 in the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
England wins 1H 1-0
Rank
#2 of 13
Leader
Draw 1H 0-0 34¢
Range
2¢-34¢
Family volume
$25K
Identifier
KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG1ARG0
Jul 12, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$816
Family rank
#2 of 13
13 outcomes · Will the 1st half score
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Family volume
$25K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is England 1, Argentina 0 in the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Identifier
KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG1ARG0
Event family
Will the 1st half score.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$25K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Draw 1H 0-0 34¢
Current share
3%
Draw 1H 0-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG0ARG0
England wins 1H 1-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG1ARG0
Argentina wins 1H 1-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG0ARG1
Draw 1H 1-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG1ARG1
Draw 1H 2-2
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG2ARG2
Argentina wins 1H 3-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG1ARG3
England wins 1H 3-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG3ARG1
Argentina wins 1H 2-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG0ARG2
Argentina wins 1H 3-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG0ARG3
England wins 1H 3-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG3ARG0
England wins 1H 2-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG2ARG0
Argentina wins 1H 2-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG1ARG2
England wins 1H 2-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG2ARG1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.