SimpleFunctions

Will the 1st half score be France wins 1-0

Will the 1st half score be France wins 1-0 is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

26¢ current

+24¢
0¢25¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Norway 0, France 1 in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will the 1st half score be France wins 1-0

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$290

Identifier

KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR0FRA1

Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

26¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

24¢

Spread

13¢

24h volume

$290

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jul 10, 2026

Family volume

$290

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 24¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
11¢501
10¢12
8¢5
5¢5
3¢2
AskSize
24¢5
25¢31
26¢2.1K
27¢100
28¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Norway 0, France 1 in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 10, 2026

Identifier

KXWC1HSCORE-26JUN26NORFRA-NOR0FRA1

SF Signal
SF Index
19945.85
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$290

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will the 1st half score be France wins 1-0 26¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

19945.8%

IY (No)

304.7%

Adj IY

19946%

CRI

8

RV

6484%

VR

1.46

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

19945.8%
304.7%
Adj IY
19946%
8
RV
6484%
VR
1.46
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
-0.1%

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.