Will the 1st half score be Spain wins 1-0
Will the 1st half score be Spain wins 1-0 is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
15¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is France 0, Spain 1 in the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the 1st half score be Spain wins 1-0
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$41K
Identifier
KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA0ESP1
Jul 13, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 2h ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$18K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Family volume
$41K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is France 0, Spain 1 in the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Identifier
KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA0ESP1
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the 1st half score be Spain wins 1-0 15¢
Current share
100%
Will the 1st half score be Spain wins 1-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA0ESP1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.