SimpleFunctions

Boston Pro Basketball team record at least 40 wins in the 2026-27 regular season

40+ wins is priced at 91¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 10 inside Will the Boston Pro Basketball team record at least.

Price history

91¢ current

+21¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 7, 2026Jul 22, 2026

Contract brief

If the Boston Pro Basketball team wins at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

40+ wins

Rank

#4 of 10

Leader

20+ wins 95¢

Range

3¢-95¢

Family volume

$675

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27BOS-40

Jul 25, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

91¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 25, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

88¢

Ask

94¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#4 of 10

10 outcomes · Will the Boston Pro Basketball team record at least

Closes

May 8, 2027

Family volume

$675

Orderbook snapshot

88 / 94¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
88¢100
85¢150
84¢300
78¢10
74¢50
AskSize
94¢5
95¢150
96¢800
98¢10
99¢125

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Boston Pro Basketball team wins at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 8, 2027

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27BOS-40

SF Signal
SF Index
466.57
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

17.4%

IY (No)

933.1%

Adj IY

467%

CRI

7

Overround

5.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

17.4%
933.1%
Adj IY
467%
7
Overround
5.0%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.