CAC 40 at least €8,450 in June 2026
At least €8,450 is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Will the CAC 40 be at least €8.
Price history
99¢ current
+97¢Contract brief
If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,450 from Jun 18, 2026 to Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least €8,450
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
At least €8,450 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$61
Identifier
KXCAC40-26JUN30-8450
Jun 21, 2026, 7:01 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
99¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · Will the CAC 40 be at least €8
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$61
Orderbook snapshot
99 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,450 from Jun 18, 2026 to Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXCAC40-26JUN30-8450
Event family
Will the CAC 40 be at least €8.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$61
Outcomes
8
Highest price
At least €8,450 99¢
Current share
0%
At least €8,450
kalshi · KXCAC40-26JUN30-8450
At least €8,500
kalshi · KXCAC40-26JUN30-8500
At least €8,600
kalshi · KXCAC40-26JUN30-8600
At least €8,550
kalshi · KXCAC40-26JUN30-8550
At least €8,650
kalshi · KXCAC40-26JUN30-8650
At least €8,700
kalshi · KXCAC40-26JUN30-8700
At least €8,750
kalshi · KXCAC40-26JUN30-8750
At least €8,800
kalshi · KXCAC40-26JUN30-8800
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.