SimpleFunctions

Charlotte Pro Basketball team win at least 50 games in the 2026-27 regular season

50+ wins is priced at 9¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 8 inside Will the Charlotte Pro Basketball team win at least.

Price history

9¢ current

+5¢
0¢10¢
Aug 24, 2026Sep 9, 2026

Contract brief

If the Charlotte Pro Basketball team wins at least 50 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

50+ wins

Rank

#7 of 8

Leader

20+ wins 94¢

Range

2¢-94¢

Family volume

$500

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27CHA-50

Sep 22, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

9¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Sep 22, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

Ask

11¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#7 of 8

8 outcomes · Will the Charlotte Pro Basketball team win at least

Closes

May 8, 2027

Family volume

$500

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 11¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
7¢255
5¢749
4¢1.7K
AskSize
11¢5
12¢750
14¢25
16¢66
27¢90

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Charlotte Pro Basketball team wins at least 50 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 8, 2027

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27CHA-50

SF Signal
SF Index
454.80
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the Charlotte Pro Basketball team win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$500

Outcomes

8

Highest price

20+ wins 94¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2122.3%

IY (No)

12.0%

Adj IY

455%

CRI

13

Overround

3.1%

LAS

0.57

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

none

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

2122.3%
12.0%
Adj IY
455%
13
Overround
3.1%
LAS
0.57

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.