Combined annual-average employment in Michigan Motor Vehicle Manufacturing and Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing for 2026 above 156,600 jobs
Above 156,600 jobs is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 25¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
36¢ current
+19¢Contract brief
If the the combined annual-average employment in Michigan Motor Vehicle Manufacturing and Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 156,600 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 156,600 jobs
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$511
Identifier
KXMIAUTOEMP-27APR30-T156600
Sep 22, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
25¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Apr 30, 2027
Family volume
$511
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 62¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the the combined annual-average employment in Michigan Motor Vehicle Manufacturing and Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 156,600 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Apr 30, 2027
Identifier
KXMIAUTOEMP-27APR30-T156600
Event family
KXMIAUTOEMP-27APR30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$511
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Above 156,600 jobs 31¢
Current share
100%
Above 156,600 jobs
kalshi · KXMIAUTOEMP-27APR30-T156600
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.