SimpleFunctions

Copper close price above 6.33 USD/Lbs on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT

above $6.33 is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Will the copper close price be above.

Price history

15¢ current

51¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 1, 2026Jun 26, 2026

Contract brief

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper using the CCN6 contract on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 6.33 USD/Lbs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

above $6.33

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

above $5.79 94¢

Range

2¢-94¢

Family volume

$764

Identifier

KXCOPPERMON-26JUN3017-T6.33

Jun 26, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

15¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

24¢

Spread

24h volume

$53

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the copper close price be above

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Family volume

$764

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 24¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
20¢500
19¢20
17¢20
15¢24
14¢25
AskSize
24¢191
25¢23
26¢35
27¢20
30¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper using the CCN6 contract on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 6.33 USD/Lbs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

KXCOPPERMON-26JUN3017-T6.33

SF Signal
SF Index
44854.24
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

5

VR

0.70

IAR

1.6/h

Overround

5.2%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

5
VR
0.70
IAR
1.6/h
Overround
5.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.