SimpleFunctions

Copper close price above 6.34 USD/Lbs on July 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT

above $6.34 is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Will the copper close price be above.

Price history

35¢ current

+6¢
30¢
Jul 10, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper using the CCN6 contract on July 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 6.34 USD/Lbs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

above $6.34

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

above $5.60 97¢

Range

11¢-97¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXCOPPERD-26JUL1317-T6.34

Jul 11, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

35¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

30¢

Ask

33¢

Spread

24h volume

$205

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the copper close price be above

Closes

Jul 13, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

30 / 33¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
30¢200
18¢10
9¢98
8¢1
7¢200
AskSize
33¢76
34¢200
38¢101
46¢10
59¢15

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper using the CCN6 contract on July 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 6.34 USD/Lbs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 13, 2026

Identifier

KXCOPPERD-26JUL1317-T6.34

SF Signal
SF Index
30351.63
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Copper Daily Close-Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXCOPPERD series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

1.45

IAR

2.4/h

Overround

31.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
1.45
IAR
2.4/h
Overround
31.4%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident

A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.