Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Kansas: Cindy Holscher · GOVPARTYKS-27
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Kansas: Cindy Holscher is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside GOVPARTYKS-27.
Price history
32¢ current
Contract brief
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Kansas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Kansas: Cindy Holscher
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Kansas: Ty Masterson 67¢
Range
32¢-67¢
Family volume
$738
Identifier
GOVPARTYKS-27-D
Sep 19, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · GOVPARTYKS-27
Closes
Jan 14, 2028
Family volume
$738
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Kansas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 14, 2028
Identifier
GOVPARTYKS-27-D
Event family
GOVPARTYKS-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$738
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Kansas: Ty Masterson 67¢
Current share
70%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.392
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.