Will the Democratic party win the governorship in North Dakota: Democratic party · GOVPARTYND-28
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in North Dakota: Democratic party is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside GOVPARTYND-28.
Price history
13¢ current
Contract brief
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of North Dakota pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in North Dakota: Democratic party
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Will the Republican party win the governorship in North Dakota: Republican party 85¢
Range
12¢-85¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
GOVPARTYND-28-D
Sep 1, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · GOVPARTYND-28
Closes
Nov 7, 2029
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of North Dakota pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 7, 2029
Identifier
GOVPARTYND-28-D
Event family
GOVPARTYND-28.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Will the Republican party win the governorship in North Dakota: Republican party 85¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.