Dow Jones Industrial Average at least $60,000 in 2026
At least $60,000 is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be at least $.
Price history
12¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If the value of Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is at least $60,000 in from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least $60,000
Rank
#6 of 7
Leader
At least $54,000 78¢
Range
11¢-78¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXDJIA-26DEC31-60000
Jul 22, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$3
Family rank
#6 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be at least $
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the value of Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is at least $60,000 in from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXDJIA-26DEC31-60000
Event family
Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be at least $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
At least $54,000 78¢
Current share
—
At least $54,000
kalshi · KXDJIA-26DEC31-54000
At least $55,000
kalshi · KXDJIA-26DEC31-55000
At least $56,000
kalshi · KXDJIA-26DEC31-56000
At least $57,000
kalshi · KXDJIA-26DEC31-57000
At least $58,000
kalshi · KXDJIA-26DEC31-58000
At least $60,000
kalshi · KXDJIA-26DEC31-60000
At least $59,000
kalshi · KXDJIA-26DEC31-59000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.