Will the EUR/USD open price be between 1.13800 and 1.13999 at Jul 13, 2026 at 10am EDT
Will the EUR/USD open price be between 1.13800 and 1.13999 at Jul 13, 2026 at 10am EDT is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
27¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for July 13, 2026 is between 1.13800-1.13999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the EUR/USD open price be between 1.13800 and 1.13999 at Jul 13, 2026 at 10am EDT
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$358
Identifier
KXEURUSD-26JUL1310-B1.139
Jul 13, 2026, 5:15 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$170
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 13, 2026
Family volume
$358
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for July 13, 2026 is between 1.13800-1.13999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 13, 2026
Identifier
KXEURUSD-26JUL1310-B1.139
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$358
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the EUR/USD open price be between 1.13800 and 1.13999 at Jul 13, 2026 at 10am EDT 27¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 27% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.