Donalds, Renner, Fishback · Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?: Donalds
Donalds, Renner, Fishback is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?: Donalds.
Price history
1¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If the exact result in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is Byron Donalds (1st), Paul Renner (2nd), James Fishback (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Donalds, Renner, Fishback
Rank
#5 of 6
Leader
Donalds, Collins, Fishback 53¢
Range
1¢-53¢
Family volume
$364
Identifier
KXFLRGOVEXACT-26AUG18-DON-REN-FIS
Aug 9, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$116
Family rank
#5 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?: Donalds
Closes
Aug 18, 2027
Family volume
$364
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the exact result in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is Byron Donalds (1st), Paul Renner (2nd), James Fishback (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2027
Identifier
KXFLRGOVEXACT-26AUG18-DON-REN-FIS
Event family
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?: Donalds.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$364
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Donalds, Collins, Fishback 53¢
Current share
0%
Donalds, Collins, Fishback
kalshi · KXFLRGOVEXACT-26AUG18-DON-COL-FIS
Donalds, Fishback, Collins
kalshi · KXFLRGOVEXACT-26AUG18-DON-FIS-COL
Donalds, Collins, Renner
kalshi · KXFLRGOVEXACT-26AUG18-DON-COL-REN
Donalds, Fishback, Renner
kalshi · KXFLRGOVEXACT-26AUG18-DON-FIS-REN
Donalds, Renner, Fishback
kalshi · KXFLRGOVEXACT-26AUG18-DON-REN-FIS
Donalds, Renner, Collins
kalshi · KXFLRGOVEXACT-26AUG18-DON-REN-COL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.