Will the Fed cut rates 14 times
Will the Fed cut rates 14 times is priced at 1¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If the Fed cuts 14 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Fed cut rates 14 times
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$314K
Identifier
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T14
Jul 24, 2026, 1:01 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$314K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Fed cuts 14 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T14
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$314K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Fed cut rates 14 times 1¢
Current share
100%
Will the Fed cut rates 14 times
kalshi · KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T14
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.423
Observability
low
Event type
political
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SimpleFunctions context
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.